I do not know how to program and I am looking for someone to write a betting script for me for the
Smart Craps simulator with a strategy that I am working on.
I'm a stalker of the different sites as there is so much info and hard to tell what is worth anything. I came up with this strategy and I like the idea that you can win (at least something) on every roll of the dice, and I'm just trying to tweak the amount and bets to hedge based on percentages.
I have been trying out my strategy with simulated games and have seemed to do fairly well. While I know the games are not fair, I think my system reduces the house edge enough to make a profit on the small scale. So basically I would want the script to run until my bankroll was gone or that I doubled my bankroll.
It's a fairly straight forward hedging strategy where nothing changes, the come out roll the bets are always the same, with some place bets with the field and both the pass and don't pass but at different amounts with full odds.
When I play the simulated games I always come out ahead. but I would like to get some reassurance or reality check at least with some mathematics.
The table set up would be 3-4-5 odds Here are the bets on the come out $10 on each hop bet (total $30) $25 pass line $100 don't pass line $10 field same bets until a point is established. After the point, $600 odds on don't pass $75-100-125 odds on pass $25 place 5 $30 place 6 $30 place 8 $10 field If the point loses then I would replace the point number .I always have a field bet. I place
5, 6, and 8 every time regardless of the point, the point does not matter to me. I always collect winnings.
Thats it nothing changes. On paper it has worked out on average. I have seen that the point is only hit 40% of the time or less, if that is true I only need to make $30 during play to make up the difference, so anything over that or anything during play on a don't pass win, is profit. The concern is having enough bankroll to endure 4 or potentially more losses in a roll.
To me a "loss" is the point being hit. If the point is hit, I lose money overall. So the goal is to make up $34 before that (or ideally a 7 out) happens. So if 4 points hit in a row, I'm down $2,000, as with this system you lose $505 when the point hits. If someone 7 outs I win on average $280 ($205 if the point is 4,10 - $280 for 5,9 and $365 for 6,8), so basically on ten rolls if the table 7 outs 60% of the time I win 6 x $280 = $1680 and lose 4 x $505 = $2020 which leaves me with a loss of $340 / 10 rolls or $34 per roll, that is why I do the iron cross with the field, because in my theory of an average round being 8.5 rolls, I should make money as I make $10 (double on 2, triple on 12) on the field when it hits, or $25 when 5,6 or 8 hit
I'm only starting with $2,000, so I'm trying to figure out
1) If my math and assumptions above are correct
2) What my starting bankroll needs to be
3) What a good amount is to stop and walk away once I hit a certain dollar amount
Let me know what you would charge to write this script.